Global oil demand has grown to 1m barrels per day in 2010 increasing by an amount more than double previous forecasts. Benchmark oil for January delivery rose 34 cents to settle at $88.02 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Oil prices rose after Congress sent a complex tax cut extension package to President Barack Obama, bolstering hopes that demand for energy products will strengthen in the new year. At the pump, unleaded regular gasoline was unchanged overnight at $2.984 a gallon. In other Nymex trading in January contracts, heating oil fell 0.26 cent to settle at $2.4737 a gallon, gasoline futures added 1.35 cents to settle at $2.3178 a gallon and natural gas gained 1.8 cents to settle at $4.066 per 1,000 cubic feet.
Oil prices had fallen early Wednesday as the dollar rallied against the euro. The single currency slid after Moody’s rating agency placed Spain on review for a possible downgrade, renewing fears about the eurozone debt crisis.
Since oil and other commodities are priced in dollars, a stronger dollar makes them more expensive for buyers who use the euro and other currencies. Persistently high unemployment, Europe’s financial problems and the possibility that China will raise interest rates could also hurt oil demand.
Although drivers in several states pay $3 a gallon or more, some analysts expect the national average to stay just below that through the end of the year, and then rise above that in the spring as the peak driving season approaches.
The tax cuts enacted when George W. Bush was president were scheduled to expire Jan. 1. The measure signed by President Obama extends them for two years. The bill also extends a series of business tax breaks intended to encourage investment.
The tax cuts add some momentum to the oil market, as traders hope they will help stimulate the economy and create more demand for gasoline, natural gas and heating oil.
The question remains whether the overall package will provide a long-term boost for the market, because an improving economy typically helps strengthen the dollar, PFGBest analyst Phil Flynn said.
“Whether or not it’s going to really be the engine revving in the market, I’m a little … apprehensive to say that’s going to happen,” Tradition Energy analyst Gene McGillian said.
Oil prices rose after official data showed US crude stockpiles fell last week by the biggest amount in eight years, analysts said.
New York’s main contract, light sweet crude for January, gained 34 cents to close at $88.62. Nymex trading in January contracts, heating oil fell 0.26 cent to settle at $2.4737 a gallon, gasoline futures added 1.35 cents to settle at $2.3178 a gallon and natural gas gained 1.8 cents to settle at $4.066 per 1,000 cubic feet.
In London, Brent North Sea crude for delivery in January added 99 cents to settle at $92.20 a barrel. Brent crude rose 7 cents to settle at $91.67 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange.
The US Department of Energy said that crude inventories shed 9.9 million barrels in the week to December 10 the biggest weekly drop in eight years.
Analysts had expected a fall of only 2.7 million barrels amid freezing weather in the US Northeast, Dow Jones Newswires said.
“We were moderately down before the report came out and then we jumped into positive territory. The initial jump was obviously because we saw such a huge drawdown on crude inventories,” said Matt Smith, analyst at Summit Energy.
Cold temperatures right across the northern hemisphere and OPEC’s recent decision to maintain its output levels should support prices in the long term, analysts said.
“Oil prices look firm at current levels supported by strong demand, the OPEC meeting outcome, cold weather and inventory dynamics,” Barclays Capital analysts said in a report.
“Moreover, with OPEC producers showing little intent at dampening prices at current levels, rather expressing surprising ease with current proceedings, the downside from current levels appears minimal to us.”
The euro plunged as low as $1.3263, which compared with $1.3375 late in New York on Tuesday. A stronger dollar makes dollar-priced oil more expensive, denting demand.
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